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Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a blowout
How Donald Trump won the presidency
2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump
538's final forecasts for the 2024 election
How 538's pollster ratings work
Would Kamala Harris be a stronger candidate than Biden?
Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast
What you might've missed at the RNC
How much momentum will RFK Jr.'s endorsement give Trump?
How 538's 2024 presidential election forecast works
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Trump and Harris are both a normal polling error away from a blowout
By G. Elliott Morris
October 30, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
How Donald Trump won the presidency
By G. Elliott Morris
November 6, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump
By G. Elliott Morris
November 8, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
538's final forecasts for the 2024 election
By G. Elliott Morris
November 5, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
How 538's pollster ratings work
By G. Elliott Morris
January 25, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
Would Kamala Harris be a stronger candidate than Biden?
By G. Elliott Morris
July 4, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecast
By G. Elliott Morris
June 11, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
What you might've missed at the RNC
By Nathaniel Rakich, Monica Potts, Kaleigh Rogers and G. Elliott Morris
July 18, 2024
Story
from 538
Nathaniel Rakich, Monica Potts, Kaleigh Rogers, G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
How much momentum will RFK Jr.'s endorsement give Trump?
By G. Elliott Morris and Mary Radcliffe
August 23, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris, Mary Radcliffe
, ABC News
How 538's 2024 presidential election forecast works
By G. Elliott Morris
August 23, 2024
Story
from 538
G. Elliott Morris
, ABC News
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