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President-elect Donald Trump speaks to members of the media during a press conference at the Mar-a-Lago Club, Jan. 7, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla.
President-elect Donald Trump speaks to members of the media during a press conference at the Mar-a-Lago Club, Jan. 7, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla.
What can we expect from Trump's first 100 days?
Jan 17
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4 hours ago

What can we expect from Trump's first 100 days?

He's vowed mass deportations, travel bans and expanded oil drilling.
4 hours ago
President-elect Donald Trump speaks to members of the media during a press conference at the Mar-a-Lago Club, Jan. 7, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla.
January 16

The highs and lows of Biden’s presidency | 538 Politics Podcast

With just days remaining in President Joe Biden’s term, the crew reflects on the past four years and tries to determine how this administration will be remembered.
January 16
With just days remaining in President Joe Biden’s term, the crew reflects on the past four years and tries to determine how this administration will be remembered.
January 16

How Biden reshaped the judiciary

His appointees were the most diverse ever, but Trump's remain more influential.
January 16
President Joe Biden appointed slightly more federal judges than President-elect Donald Trump did during his first term.
January 15

How Americans are reacting to the Los Angeles wildfires

Polling shows many Americans blame climate change for the disaster.
January 15
A utilities worker views damage from the Palisades Fire, in the Pacific Palisades neighborhood of Los Angeles, on Jan. 12, 2025.
January 14

How serious is Trump about Greenland? | 538 Politics Podcast

With one week remaining before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the nation is orienting itself towards his policy goals. Will they include the addition of new American territory?
January 14
With one week remaining before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the nation is orienting itself towards his policy goals. Will they include the addition of new American territory?
January 13

Why Trump is getting more popular

His net favorability rating is at or near an all-time high.
January 13
Donald Trump's favorability rating is on the rise.
January 10

Who were the strongest Senate and House candidates of 2024?

Moderates and nonwhite Democrats tended to outrun the top of the ticket.
January 10
Larry Hogan, Jon Tester and Amy Klobuchar were some of the strongest candidates for Congress in 2024.
January 09

Republicans start 2025 with the smallest House majority since 1931

Narrow margins will challenge Speaker Mike Johnson and test Trump's influence.
January 09
Republicans in the 119th Congress control the House of Representatives with one of the smallest majorities ever.
January 07

Why the speaker vote should still worry Mike Johnson

The same wing of the GOP that ousted Kevin McCarthy is skeptical of Johnson.
January 07
Rep. Mike Johnson talks to Rep. Steve Scalise and other fellow Representatives as the House votes for Speaker of the House on the first day of the 119th Congress in the House Chamber of the U.S. Capitol, Jan. 3, 2025, in Washington.
January 07

What Will The Politics of 2025 Look Like? | 538 Politics Podcast

What’s on the horizon for American politics in 2025? In this episode of the 538 Politics Podcast, the team dives into what lies ahead.
January 07
What’s on the horizon for American politics in 2025?
January 06

Key elections to watch in 2025

Races for governor in Virginia and New Jersey will be in the spotlight.
January 06
Open gubernatorial contests in Virginia and New Jersey are among the key elections that will be held in 2025.
January 02

What I got wrong in 2024

Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich roasts his predictions from 2024.
January 02
538’s Nathaniel Rakich makes a lot of predictions — here are the ones in 2024 that didn’t quite pan out the way he thought.
December 30

Jimmy Carter was ahead of his time on energy (and craft brewing)

And it’s not just his White House solar panels.
December 30
President Jimmy Carter speaks in front of Solar Panels placed on West Wing Roof of White House, announcing his solar energy policy, Washington, D.C., June 20, 1979.
December 30

How will Jimmy Carter be remembered?

He served only one term as president, but left his stamp on American politics.
December 30
Examining former President Jimmy Carter’s legacy.
December 30

Campaign Throwback: ‘Soccer Moms’ | 538 Politics Podcast

This is the second installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.
December 30
This is the second installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.
December 23

Campaign Throwback: ‘The Economy, Stupid’ | 538 Politics Podcast

This is the first installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.
December 23
This is the first installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” This episode originally aired in May.
December 19

What we're putting in our 2024 time capsule | 538 politics podcast

In the second part of our end-of-year series on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew builds a time capsule to capture the political essence of the year.
December 19
In the second part of our end-of-year series on the 538 Politics podcast, the crew builds a time capsule to capture the political essence of the year.
December 16

Our 2024 Superlatives | 538 politics podcast

On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew makes a yearbook and assigns superlatives.
December 16
On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew makes a yearbook and assigns superlatives.
December 12

What happens to Trump's legal cases now? | 538 politics podcast

Law professor and former federal prosecutor Jessica Roth joins the podcast to unpack the fate of the legal cases against Trump.
December 12
Law professor and former federal prosecutor Jessica Roth joins the podcast to unpack the fate of the legal cases against Trump.
December 09

A topsy-turvy week in review | 538 politics podcast

The 538 crew looks at President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks, the status of House Republicans’ slim majority, and examine the polling on President Joe Biden’s pardon of his son Hunter.
December 09
The 538 crew looks at President-elect Donald Trump’s Cabinet picks, the status of House Republicans’ slim majority, and examine the polling on President Joe Biden’s pardon of his son Hunter.
December 05

Your post-election questions, answered

In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election.
December 05
In this post-election mailbag episode, the crew tackles your burning questions about the 2024 election.
December 03

The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away | 538 Politics Podcast

Deep dive into the 2026 midterm elections, with the 538 team analyzing the prospects for both the House and Senate.
December 03
Deep dive into the 2026 midterm elections, with the 538 team analyzing the prospects for both the House and Senate.
November 26

Historic defeat for incumbents all over the world

The 538 crew discusses the global anti-incumbent wave and examines whether Democrats in the U.S. had it the worst.
November 26
Historic defeat for incumbents all over the world
November 26

Will Tulsi Gabbard get confirmed as director of national intelligence?

538’s Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich share their thoughts on Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's pick for director of national intelligence.
November 26
Will Tulsi Gabbard get confirmed as director of national intelligence?
November 26

How economic sentiment impacted the 2024 election

The 538 team discusses how partisan biases influenced economic perceptions and voting outcome in the 2024 election.
November 26
How economic sentiment impacted the 2024 election
November 21

What effect does weighting have on polls' accuracy?

The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology.
November 21
The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology.
November 21

How pollsters' methodology may have changed

538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
November 21
538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
November 21

What the 2024 election tells us about past elections

538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
November 21
538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
November 14

What 2024 election polls showed about the Latino electorate

Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
November 14
Polls of Latino voters during the 2024 election were a mixed bag of accuracy. Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
November 14

How the issue of immigration may evolve in a second Trump term

538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump.
November 14
538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump.

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