We tracked the undecided races of the 2024 election

Republicans are on track to have a narrow 220-215 majority in the House.

By538 Staff via five thirty eight logo
Last Updated: November 27, 2024, 2:30 PM EST

We found out that President-elect Donald Trump had won the White House late on election night, but several downballot races across the country took weeks to be resolved. 538 reporters, analysts and contributors tracked all the late-breaking races as they were projected with live updates, analysis and commentary.

When the dust settled, Republicans won a 53-47 majority in the Senate, and the GOP looks like they’ll finish with a narrow 220-215 majority in the House. Other important races, from ballot measures to state Supreme Court elections, also went to recounts.

Read our full live blog of the post-Election Day count below.

Key Headlines

Here's how the news developed.
Nathaniel Rakich Image
ByNathaniel Rakich
Nov 06, 2024, 2:28 PM EST

Several new House races projected

ABC News projects that Democrats have won Indiana's 1st District and Washington's 8th District, while Republicans have won Arizona's 2nd, California's 3rd and California's 40th.

None of these projections are terribly surprising. Democratic Reps. Frank Mrvan and Kim Schrier were considered likely to win in Indiana and Washington, per our preelection forecast. Same with Republican Rep. Young Kim in California's 40th District and Republican Rep. Kevin Kiley in California's 3rd. And while a well-regarded pre-election poll had found Republican Rep. Eli Crane tied with Democrat Jonathan Nez in Arizona's 2nd, in the end, Crane ended up pulling it out.

Geoffrey Skelley Image
ByGeoffrey Skelley
Nov 06, 2024, 2:26 PM EST

Republicans flip Pennsylvania's 7th District in an upset

PHOTO: (R) Key Race Projected
ABC News

ABC News has projected that Republican Ryan Mackenzie will defeat Democratic Rep. Susan Wild in Pennsylvania's 7th District. The seat, which sits in the eastern part of the state, but to the north of the Philadelphia region, has been closely contested during Wild's three terms in office. 538's forecast gave Wild an edge coming into Election Day, giving her about a 7-in-10 shot of winning reelection. But Mackenzie leads by 1.4 points, 50.7% to 49.3% with 99% of the expected vote reporting.

Nathaniel Rakich Image
ByNathaniel Rakich
Nov 06, 2024, 2:23 PM EST

Democrats hold Wisconsin's Senate seat

ABC News projects that Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin has won reelection in Wisconsin. With 99% of the expected vote counted, she has 49.4% and Republican Eric Hovde has 48.5%. That's an important win for Democrats, as this was one of Republicans' best remaining pickup opportunities.

Baldwin prevailed despite Trump carrying Wisconsin on the presidential level, making her just the second Senate candidate in the last 10 years to win a state at the same time that the opposite party's presidential candidate was carrying it. However, Trump only won Wisconsin 50% to 49%, so there were actually very few split-ticket voters in this race.

Meredith Conroy Image
ByMeredith Conroy
Nov 06, 2024, 2:20 PM EST

Liccardo is the projected winner in California's 16th District

ABC News is projecting that former San José mayor Sam Liccardo will win the Democrat vs. Democrat matchup in California's 16th District, defeating Evan Low, despite Gov. Newsom's endorsement of Low.

Liccardo will replace Rep. Anna Eshoo, also a Democrat, who announced her retirement.

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