New York 3rd District special election: Suozzi projected to defeat Pilip for seat vacated by Santos

Democrats cut into Republicans’ already narrow House majority.

Democrat Tom Suozzi has won the special election in New York’s 3rd District, defeating Republican Mazi Pilip to flip a House seat from red to blue. (The seat was formerly held by Republican Rep. George Santos, who was expelled from Congress in December after a series of scandals.) As a result, Republicans’ already narrow House majority has been reduced to 219-213.

Throughout the night, 538 reporters, analysts and contributors have been live-blogging the results in real time and breaking down what (if anything) they mean for November. Read our full analysis below.

Latest headlines:

Here's how the news is developing. All times Eastern.
G. Elliott Morris Image
Feb 13, 2024, 10:30 PM EST

ABC News has projected a winner

The ABC News decision desk is now affirming the calls from other sources, projecting that Tom Souzzi will win the race and flip a seat for the Democrats.

—G. Elliott Morris, 538

Monica Potts Image
Feb 13, 2024, 10:28 PM EST

Pilip is conceding now

In a quick speech in front of supporters, Pilip said she'd called Suozzi and conceded the race. This outcome is not a huge surprise: Suozzi is a known entity and Pilip was a newer face who was outspent in the race.

—Monica Potts, 538

Leah Askarinam Image
Feb 13, 2024, 10:24 PM EST

Meanwhile, on social media...

As George Santos’ time as the most recent member of Congress representing the 3rd District comes to a close, he seems to be relishing Pilip’s likely loss.

—Leah Askarinam, 538

Nathaniel Rakich Image
Feb 13, 2024, 10:19 PM EST

The Associated Press has projected a winner

Yeah, Geoffrey, based on that Nassau dump, the Associated Press has gone ahead and projected Suozzi as the winner. Our colleagues at ABC News, however, have yet to make a projection.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538

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